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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
The latest Morning Consult poll shows that Harris has 51% of the vote while Trump has 45%. Two percent of those polled say they would vote for someone else and another 2% have no opinion. The 6% ...
Late last month a Free Press poll showed Trump ahead by the slimmest of margins — 47% to 46% for Harris in a head-to-head matchup and well within the ... RealClearPolitics.com: Trump 48.3% (+0.3 ...
TIPP Insight’s September tracking poll shows that, while Harris has a 3-point lead in a head-to-head matchup (48 percent to 45 percent), Trump may be in a stronger position than those topline ...
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
The polling average curated by ABC’s 538, which was last updated on Aug. 18, shows Harris with a 2.6 point lead against Trump, 46.4% to 43.8%. Silver Bulletin, the independent site of former 538 ...
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Jill Stein Green Cornel West Independent Chase Oliver Libertarian Others/ Undecided [j] Margin Race to the WH [88] through September 18, 2024 September 20, 2024 46.5% 47.5%: 0.6% — 0.7% 4.7% Trump +1.0%: RealClearPolitics [89] August 9 ...